They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Nate Silver's. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Preview of Spotify. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Missed Deliveries for February 2023 | by Podcast Delivery | Podcast Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! Instagram did not return a 200. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Happy holidays! The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. . Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' This is the second episode. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more Join. 0:00:00 In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. 04:58 PM. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The Sporkful on Stitcher Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The data behind that evolution is striking. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts MANAGER'S SALARY. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. All rights reserved. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Whereas Tester . In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. 9 days ago. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The Supreme Court Not So Much. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . What does it take to make democracy work? Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. File Upload. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. The Gerrymandering Project: California | FiveThirtyEight Politics LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. No products in the cart. 11:03 AM. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average.